HISTORIC PRESS RELEASE : Chancellor welcomes IMF´s assessment of UK Economy [December 1998]

The press release issued by HM Treasury on 21 December 1998.

The “strong economic performance in recent years” underpinned by “the shift in the focus of policy making towards setting and achieving clear medium-term goals” is highlighted today by the IMF in their annual assessment of the UK economy.

Commenting on the IMF’s statement the Chancellor, Gordon Brown, said:

“I welcome today’s assessment by the IMF which provides international support for the tough action this Government has taken across the full range of economic policy to ensure that the UK is well placed to steer a course of stability through the current difficulties in the world economy.”

The IMF note that “private sector fundamentals are strong; and past policies have ensured that monetary policy is well placed to respond appropriately, and fiscal policy to utilize fully the automatic stabilizers.” On this basis, they say that “it is likely, therefore, that the slowdown will be short-lived…”.

Other highlights of the IMF’s annual assessment include:

• welcoming the Government’s approach to the accountability and transparency of economic policy, where the UK is regarded as “in the vanguard”;
• supporting Bank of England independence and noting that ” the way the Bank and the MPC have responded to this charge is impressive”;
• praise for the Government’s fiscal policy, where they note that “the degree of fiscal consolidation achieved by the Government since coming to office can only be viewed as highly commendable”;
• a welcome for the “emphasis on policies to help vulnerable groups while encouraging greater individual responsibility, efficiency and flexibility”. In particular, they cite the New Deal, the Working Families Tax Credit, changes to National Insurance Contributions and proposed pension reform; and
• commendation for the Government’s “initiatives to relieve the poorest countries’ debt problem and for their commitment to reverse the downward trend in UK overseas aid.”

In line with the Government’s latest economic forecast, the IMF notes that the

“economy is now weakening, possibly more than needed for sustainability because of adverse external developments” in the world economy. In its interim World Economic Outlook, also published today, the IMF’s revised forecast for UK growth in 1999 is 0.9 per cent, in line with the Government’s Pre-Budget Report forecast.